Medical Experts Compare COVID-19 Spread With Forest Fires

Early in the spring, some medical experts anticipated that the COVID-19 pandemic would follow a wave pattern similar to that of the flu, with the virus disappearing during the summer and returning in the fall. The fall wave was thought to be more aggressive and severe in comparison to the first.

New epidemiological research has inferred that there are no signs of a decrease in the number of new cases, prompting some scientists to argue that the pandemic is actually more similar to a wildfire.

A new perspective

According to researchers who contributed to a paper that anticipated the rise of a new wave in the fall, it is now clear that there is a single big wave. Severa scenarios anticipated that the number of cases will vary in some form of another, but neither one was proved to be real by recent research and observations.

It can be argued that the wave-related theories were based on the fact that researchers compared the COVID-19 virus with influenza during the early stages of research. In the case of large-scale influenza epidemics, true waves were observed and are certified by historical information.

Not seasonal for now

Most respiratory infections tend to be stronger during colder seasons as the lower temperatures will reinforce a coating which surround viruses and works as a shell. These shells can extent their endurance and allow them to travel from one person to another. During warmer seasons, the shell is more vulnerable and viruses are sensitive to environmental conditions.

As in the case of flu, the novel coronavirus can spread via droplets that are released by talking, coughing or sneezing and many people do not feature symptoms but can spread the infections to other individuals

Unlike other viruses, COVID-19 is also new, and the lack of population immunity plays an important role in the spreading process.

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